Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.019529 0.021119 0.022776 0.024633 0.026657 0.028798 0.031237
2025-09-07 0.016700 0.018967 0.021460 0.024409 0.027809 0.031612 0.036201
2025-09-14 0.014883 0.017527 0.020551 0.024275 0.028754 0.033983 0.040578
2025-09-21 0.013452 0.016309 0.019681 0.023973 0.029313 0.035771 0.044219
2025-09-28 0.012510 0.015550 0.019239 0.024068 0.030259 0.037981 0.048414
2025-10-05 0.011652 0.014804 0.018722 0.023981 0.030905 0.039780 0.052126
2025-10-12 0.011000 0.014257 0.018394 0.024076 0.031743 0.041821 0.056224
2025-10-19 0.010425 0.013760 0.018083 0.024147 0.032516 0.043779 0.060283
2025-10-26 0.009858 0.013231 0.017684 0.024054 0.033031 0.045379 0.063903
2025-11-02 0.009385 0.012796 0.017378 0.024053 0.033650 0.047126 0.067802
2025-11-09 0.008839 0.012226 0.016849 0.023698 0.033726 0.048081 0.070567
2025-11-16 0.008314 0.011655 0.016283 0.023250 0.033626 0.048750 0.072914
2025-11-23 0.007868 0.011188 0.015860 0.023013 0.033863 0.049989 0.076305
2025-11-30 0.007471 0.010771 0.015490 0.022835 0.034180 0.051370 0.080021
2025-12-07 0.007122 0.010408 0.015174 0.022715 0.034569 0.052869 0.084004
2025-12-14 0.006759 0.010001 0.014772 0.022434 0.034680 0.053922 0.087306
2025-12-21 0.006519 0.009768 0.014617 0.022523 0.035371 0.055924 0.092298
2025-12-28 0.006255 0.009484 0.014366 0.022442 0.035776 0.057470 0.096597
2026-01-04 0.006049 0.009279 0.014228 0.022530 0.036455 0.059498 0.101847
2026-01-11 0.005852 0.009078 0.014083 0.022597 0.037094 0.061481 0.107135
2026-01-18 0.005634 0.008833 0.013856 0.022510 0.037463 0.063012 0.111691
2026-01-25 0.005448 0.008631 0.013686 0.022509 0.037973 0.064809 0.116840
2026-02-01 0.005206 0.008325 0.013334 0.022179 0.037885 0.065533 0.120010